Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.026898 0.029194 0.031597 0.034298 0.037253 0.040389 0.043972
2025-08-17 0.022866 0.026130 0.029738 0.034030 0.039006 0.044604 0.051396
2025-08-24 0.020071 0.023817 0.028130 0.033479 0.039955 0.047570 0.057239
2025-08-31 0.018143 0.022194 0.027014 0.033198 0.040956 0.050415 0.062890
2025-09-07 0.016636 0.020883 0.026082 0.032948 0.041833 0.053009 0.068246
2025-09-14 0.015432 0.019820 0.025326 0.032790 0.042715 0.055558 0.073598
2025-09-21 0.014317 0.018768 0.024479 0.032403 0.043204 0.057544 0.078243
2025-09-28 0.013537 0.018086 0.024046 0.032498 0.044290 0.060330 0.084087
2025-10-05 0.012745 0.017328 0.023447 0.032302 0.044925 0.062482 0.089122
2025-10-12 0.012148 0.016791 0.023104 0.032416 0.045966 0.065225 0.095128
2025-10-19 0.011607 0.016294 0.022778 0.032515 0.046965 0.067927 0.101203
2025-10-26 0.011096 0.015807 0.022430 0.032549 0.047846 0.070473 0.107163
2025-11-02 0.010693 0.015476 0.022318 0.032968 0.049394 0.074215 0.115405
2025-11-09 0.010076 0.014799 0.021665 0.032540 0.049635 0.075986 0.120682
2025-11-16 0.009479 0.014118 0.020965 0.031990 0.049635 0.077359 0.125378
2025-11-23 0.009005 0.013593 0.020469 0.031719 0.050044 0.079380 0.131253
2025-11-30 0.008576 0.013115 0.020015 0.031481 0.050478 0.081446 0.137315
2025-12-07 0.008201 0.012699 0.019633 0.031330 0.051032 0.083724 0.143872
2025-12-14 0.007805 0.012229 0.019139 0.030962 0.051190 0.085326 0.149316
2025-12-21 0.007535 0.011947 0.018930 0.031052 0.052124 0.088296 0.157411
2025-12-28 0.007226 0.011585 0.018572 0.030866 0.052559 0.090407 0.164049
2026-01-04 0.006995 0.011342 0.018395 0.030974 0.053511 0.093477 0.172684
2026-01-11 0.006776 0.011105 0.018217 0.031069 0.054436 0.096542 0.181506